NCAA Tournament 2022 bracket: Computer simulation predicts surprising upsets, March Madness picks, sleepers

Last year’s March Madness Sweet 16 only featured a handful of upsets, the biggest being 11th-seeded UCLA surprising 2-seed Alabama, 88-78. UCLA very nearly followed that with a Final Four win over Gonzaga and in the process, gave the NCAA Tournament one of its best stories. While many will be on upset watch during the first round of the 2022 March Madness bracket, the later-round matchups in the 2022 NCAA bracket could be the most intriguing.

When looking beyond the first round pairings in your March Madness 2022 bracket, picking out mismatches will make the difference when choosing the right winners. Can 5-seed Iowa continue its momentum from a Big Ten Tournament win? Can North Carolina challenge Baylor in a potential 1 vs. 8 matchup in the East region of the NCAA basketball tournament bracket? Before you make your 2022 NCAA Tournament predictions, see the March Madness bracket picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s advanced computer model absolutely crushed its March Madness picks last tournament, beating over 92 percent of all CBS Sports brackets for the second time in three years. The model also nailed a whopping three teams in the Final Four last year.

He knows how to spot an upset as well. The same model has produced brackets that have nailed 17 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds. It also nailed some massive upsets last tournament, including predicting the championship game between Gonzaga and Baylor, and hit Houston’s Midwest Region win even though the Cougars weren’t the No. 1 seed. Getting those picks right could literally make or break your March Madness bracket.

Now, SportsLine’s advanced computer model has simulated the entire NCAA Tournament 10,000 times to come up with the perfect 2022 NCAA Tournament bracket and find out which teams will pull off the biggest upsets. You shouldn’t even think about making a pick without seeing what their model has to say.

Top 2022 March Madness bracket upset picks

One team set to pull off a shocking upset in 2022 March Madness brackets: No. 3 Texas Tech beats No. 2 Duke in a likely Sweet 16 pairing. College basketball fans should already be prepared for the frequent discussion about Duke head coach Mike Krzyzewski’s retirement after this season during tournament broadcasts, but how many will be prepared for the end to come after a meeting with the Red Raiders? Tech has unfinished business after a two-point loss in the second round of last year’s tournament following its 2019 championship game loss to Virginia.

The Blue Devils have two bad losses in their last four games, the most recent of which came in the ACC Championship game, where they made just 20 percent of their three-point attempts. North Carolina was able to capitalize on the emotion surrounding Coach K’s final home game and hit the afterburners on offense to outscore Duke, 94-81. The burden of sending Krzyzewski off into the sunset with a title will eventually be the undoing of the Blue Devils, and the SportsLine model predicts Tech will be the team to hand them that loss.

Another huge curveball in the West Region: No. 10 Davidson upsets No. 7 Michigan State. This may be classified a neutral-site game, but the crowd will certainly be in Davidson’s favor. The game takes place in Greenville, SC, a two-hour drive from Davidson’s campus, but is 11 hours away from Lansing, Mich.

MSU went just 2-6 over its last eight games away from home and it doesn’t have a singular star who can just take over games like it’s had in the past. No Spartan even finished among the top 30 in the Big Ten in scoring, as leading scorer Gabe Brown averaged just 11.4 points per game.

Davidson has four players who average more than Brown, so even if one or two have an off night, it still has enough offensive firepower to topple the Spartans. Recent history is also on Davidson’s side since No. 10 seeds are 5-2 (one no-contest) against No. 7 seeds over the past two tournaments.

How to make 2022 NCAA Tournament bracket predictions

SportsLine’s model also says a No. 11 seed and a No. 5 seed make the Final Four. It also tells you which No. 12 and No. 10 seeds are a must-back. Nailing those picks could literally make or break your bracket. With the model’s track record of calling bracket-busting upsets, you’ll want to see which stunners it is calling this year before locking in any NCAA bracket picks.

So what’s the optimal NCAA Tournament 2022 bracket? And which underdogs will shock college basketball? Visit SportsLine here to see which No. 11 and No. 5 seeds make the Final Four, plus which 12- and 10-seeds are a must-back, all from the model that’s nailed 17 double-digit seed upsets in the first round.

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